Bristol Cup Preview

Nascar heads to thunder valley this weekend as it’s time for the Food City 500, which is a 500 lap race around the half mile concrete oval known as Bristol Motor Speedway or otherwise known as the last great Colosseum. It’s going to be a cool weekend as temperatures are expected to be in the 60s but questions remain about how the tire will react this time around. Let’s get into it.

This is just the 2nd spring race in the next gen cars and I say this because I believe that was one reason as to why tire wear was so insane last spring along with the cold temps. With now a year of spring data and warmer temperatures I don’t believe that we will see the tire fall off at the rate that we saw last year. I do think there will be some wear later into a long run that falls off significantly. With the traction compound I thing track position will be important early and the bottom line will be the preferred line unless we see some tire saving mode.

I expect this race to be a race to the bottom on the initial start followed by guys trying to widen the groove. I expect the shortest runs on tires should be at the start of the race as teams continue to build on how the tire reacts and how it wears. This could lead to multiple different strategies throughout the race. I’m not expecting too many cautions as the cars are close together but spread out as well in the next gen at Bristol. Here’s who I think you should watch out for on Sunday.

Fresh off a interesting finish at Darlington, the NASCAR cup series heads to Bristol with a read hot Denny Hamlin looking to be the 2nd driver of the year and of his team (Christopher Bell) to 3 peat. Hamlin is no stranger to winning at Bristol as he is the winner of 2 of the last 3 races, including last springs tire attrition race. With momentum coming in off of back to back wins at Martinsville and Darlington, Hamlin is sure to be a threat. Kyle Larson had two top five finishes last year at Bristol including his dominant performance in the Bristol night race last summer. He is looking to turn things around after last weeks Darlington race which saw Larson uncharacteristically spin by himself early in the race, only to crash again off of contact with Bubba Wallace. Larson is also a multi time Bristol winner so this might be a good bounce back race for him. Ty Gibbs is also another driver who impressed at least in the spring race last year as it looked like he was one of the cars to beat until his tires gave up on him late in the last run, which was the longest of the race. I’m sure he’s looking forward to racing here and is hoping to continue the momentum after he got his first top 10 of the season last week.

It’s 500 laps and a lot can happen fast. The laps click off fast, the turns are banked and fast, and there is zero margin for error. Oh yeah, short track tempers can rage here as well.

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